Q2 2024 Market & Economic Review


Second Quarter Highlights

  • Equity markets continued to move higher in the second quarter, with the S&P 500 returning 4.3% and bringing the year-to-date to 15.3%.
  • Inflation continues to moderate, albeit slowly, with the most recent Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index reading at 2.6% compared to 2.7% in April. The market continues to expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates in 2024. We are watching inflation data closely as it will likely be the key determinant for when the Fed begins to lower rates.

  • First quarter GDP slowed to 1.3% after solid growth in the second half of 2023. GDP growth expectations for 2024 continue to moderate with 2.0% expected in the second quarter and more moderate growth of 1.6% anticipated for both the third and fourth quarter.
“Madison” and/or “Madison Investments” is the unifying tradename of Madison Investment Holdings, Inc., Madison Asset Management, LLC (“MAM”), and Madison Investment Advisors, LLC (“MIA”). MAM and MIA are registered as investment advisers with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Madison Funds are distributed by MFD Distributor, LLC. MFD Distributor, LLC is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as a broker-dealer and is a member firm of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. The home office for each firm listed above is 550 Science Drive, Madison, WI 53711. Madison’s toll-free number is 800-767-0300.

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Indices are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only, and do not represent the performance of any specific investment. Index returns do not include any expenses, fees or sales charges, which would lower performance.

The S&P 500® is an unmanaged index of large companies and is widely regarded as a standard for measuring large-cap and mid-cap U.S. stock-market performance. Results assume the reinvestment of all capital gain and dividend distributions. An investment cannot be made directly into an index.

The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. The index includes Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, mortgage backed securities, asset-backed securities and corporate securities, with maturities greater than one year.

Yield Curve is a line that plots yields (interest rates) of bonds having equal credit quality but differing maturity dates. The slope of the yield curve gives an idea of future interest rate changes and economic activity. There are three main types of yield curve shapes: normal (upward sloping curve), inverted (downward sloping curve) and flat. Yield curve strategies involve positioning a portfolio to capitalize on expected changes.