Reinhart Week in Review by Madison Investments 9.08.2023


ISM SERVICES INDEX

The ISM Services index came in at 54.5 in August, up from 52.7 in July.

Our Take: Despite relatively weak goods demand, consumer demand for services remains strong and continues to drive economic growth.

MUNICIPALS

Airport municipal bond issuance reached $1.8 billion in August according to Bloomberg. The first half of 2023 had approximately $3 billion in total airport issuance. Last spring, the Airports Council International-North America estimated that airports in the US will need to spend $150 billion over the next five years on infrastructure.

Our Take: As a busy summer travel season comes to a close, numbers show that travel has rebounded from the effects of the pandemic. According to Skift’s Travel Health Index, the June 2023 travel index figure was greater than the April 2019 pre-pandemic high. The rebound in travel has led airports to revisit infrastructure and capital improvement projects, and many are tapping the municipal bond market for funding.

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Any performance data shown represents past performance. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Non-deposit investment products are not federally insured, involve investment risk, may lose value and are not obligations of, or guaranteed by, any financial institution. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate.

This website is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security.

This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security.

Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that the firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions included in this report constitute the firm’s judgment as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security.

Quality refers to the bond ratings provided by the various third-party ratings agencies. Stability and predictability refer to the cash flow of individual securities and not to the market value or performance of portfolio holdings. There is no guarantee this strategy will lead to investment success.

In addition to the ongoing market risk applicable to portfolio securities, bonds are subject to interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices fall; generally, the longer a bond’s maturity, the more sensitive it is to this risk. Bonds may also be subject to call risk, which allows the issuer to retain the right to redeem the debt, fully or partially, before the scheduled maturity date. Proceeds from sales prior to maturity may be more or less than originally invested due to changes in market conditions or changes in the credit quality of the issuer.

The ISM Services PMI® is a composite index based on the diffusion indexes for four of the indicators with equal weights: Business Activity (seasonally adjusted), New Orders (seasonally adjusted), Employment (seasonally adjusted) and Supplier Deliveries. An index reading above 50 percent indicates that the services economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. Supplier Deliveries is an exception. A Supplier Deliveries Index above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries and below 50 percent indicates faster deliveries.