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Mike Sanders Discusses Higher Treasury Yields and Opportunities on Schwab Network

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Head of Fixed Income Mike Sanders joined the Schwab Network to discuss why bond yields are likely to stay higher for longer and where bond investors can find value.

With the 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields above 5%, Mike says that it was about “inflation from energy, and “issuance from AI crowding out” the Treasury market. He noted investors can find high quality bank bonds at over 6% and don’t have to “extend into lower quality bonds to generate solid yields.” Overall, Mike says investors should be selective, because “it’s just not a buy everything type market.”

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In addition to the ongoing market risk applicable to portfolio securities, bonds are subject to interest rate risk, credit risk and inflation risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices fall; generally, the longer a bond’s maturity, the more sensitive it is to this risk. Credit risk is the possibility that the issuer of a security will be unable to make interest payments and repay the principal on its debt. Bonds may also be subject to call risk, which allows the issuer to retain the right to redeem the debt, fully or partially, before the scheduled maturity date. Proceeds from sales prior to maturity may be more or less than originally invested due to changes in market conditions or changes in the credit quality of the issuer.

Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that the firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions included in the report constitute the authors’ judgment as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice.

Bond Spread is the difference between yields on differing debt instruments of varying maturities, credit ratings, and risk, calculated by deducting the yield of one instrument from another.

Yield Curve is a line that plots yields (interest rates) of bonds having equal credit quality but differing maturity dates. The slope of the yield curve gives an idea of future interest rate changes and economic activity. There are three main types of yield curve shapes: normal (upward-sloping curve), inverted (downward-sloping curve), and flat. A flat yield curve is one in which short-term bonds have yields similar to longer bonds.

Volatility is the degree of variation of returns for a given security or market index.